Tax

Autumn Statement 2026 — What to Expect

Key predictions and areas to watch for the Autumn Statement 2026, including likely tax changes, benefits uprating, and spending announcements.

The Autumn Statement is one of the most important dates in the UK financial calendar. While the 2026 statement has not yet been announced, here are the key areas to watch and what we know so far.

When Is It?

Detail Expected
Date Late October or November 2026 (exact date TBC)
Who delivers it Chancellor of the Exchequer
Where House of Commons
Economic forecasts by Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)

Areas to Watch

Income Tax

Issue Current position What might change
Personal Allowance £12,570 (frozen until April 2028) Could be extended beyond 2028 or unfrozen
Basic rate band £12,571–£50,270 May remain frozen (fiscal drag continues)
Higher rate (40%) £50,271+ Threshold could remain frozen
Additional rate (45%) £125,140+ Unlikely to change — already lowered in 2023

The income tax threshold freeze is a stealth tax increase — as wages rise, more people pay higher rates. By 2028, this freeze is expected to bring in billions in extra revenue.

National Insurance

Issue Current position What might change
Employee NI rate 8% (reduced from 12% in 2024) Government pledged not to increase — likely to stay
Employer NI rate 15% (increased from 13.8% in April 2025) May remain — government may look at threshold changes instead
Self-employed NI (Class 4) 6% Likely stable
NI threshold £12,570 Frozen alongside income tax thresholds

Capital Gains Tax

Issue Current position What might change
Basic rate CGT 18% (residential property) / 10% (other assets) Rates were increased in 2024 — further changes possible
Higher rate CGT 24% (residential property) / 20% (other assets) Government has signalled alignment with income tax is possible long-term
Annual exempt amount £3,000 Could be reduced further or frozen
Business Asset Disposal Relief 10% up to £1m lifetime May be reduced or reformed

Inheritance Tax

Issue Current position What might change
Nil-rate band £325,000 (frozen since 2009) Unlikely to increase — major revenue source
Residence nil-rate band £175,000 Frozen
Pensions in IHT From April 2027, pensions brought into IHT Watch for implementation details
Agricultural and business relief Being reformed from April 2026 Watch for transition details

Pensions

Issue Current position What might change
Annual allowance £60,000 May be reviewed — some speculation about reduction
Tax-free lump sum 25% (up to £268,275) Could be capped at a lower amount
Pension tax relief At marginal rate Possible move to flat rate (long-discussed, never implemented)
State Pension triple lock Maintained Under pressure due to cost — watch for changes
Normal minimum pension age 55 (rising to 57 in 2028) Confirmed for 2028 — unlikely to change further

Benefits Uprating

Benefit Current uprating method Expected change
State Pension Triple lock (higher of earnings, CPI, or 2.5%) Likely maintained for 2027/28
Universal Credit CPI inflation Standard uprating expected
Child Benefit CPI inflation Standard uprating expected
Benefit cap May be reviewed Could be frozen or increased
Two-child limit Under review Possible reform or removal

Housing and Property

Issue Current position What might change
Stamp duty Current rates and thresholds First-time buyer relief may change
Mortgage interest relief (landlords) 20% tax credit Unlikely to change
Renters’ reform Renters’ Rights Bill progressing Implementation details
Help to Buy alternatives Lifetime ISA £450,000 limit Possible increase to cap
Right to Buy discounts Under review May be reformed

Energy and Environment

Issue Current position What might change
Energy price cap Quarterly Ofgem cap Government may announce broader energy strategy
Boiler Upgrade Scheme Extended to 2028 May increase grant amounts or expand eligibility
Warm Home Discount £150 Could be increased
Green investment Various schemes Possible new announcements
Carbon pricing UK ETS May expand to new sectors

How Previous Autumn Statements Affected Your Money

Key Changes from 2024/2025

Change Impact
Employer NI increased to 15% Businesses face higher costs — some passed to employees via lower wage growth
CGT rates increased Higher tax on investment and property gains
Pensions brought into IHT from April 2027 Major change for estate planning
Income tax thresholds frozen to 2028 Millions paying more tax through fiscal drag
Non-dom status abolished Affects international workers moving to/from UK

What to Do Before the Autumn Statement

Action Why
Review your ISA contributions Use your allowance before any possible changes
Check pension contributions Maximise tax relief before any cap changes
Review CGT position Consider crystallising gains before potential rate changes
Update your will Especially given IHT pension changes from April 2027
Review salary sacrifice arrangements Ensure you are maximising NI savings

How We’ll Cover It

We will update this guide with the confirmed changes as soon as the Autumn Statement is delivered. Bookmark this page and check back when the date is announced.

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